IPCC Extreme weather events combined context diagrams FBE WIP
Adaptation and disaster risk managment approaches for a changing climate
DIabetes incidence from population inflow, with undiagnosed and diagnosed stocks
Diabetes Progression 3 stock
See reference in diagram notes. WIP for Environment part of primary care regional model. GP centric calibration by JPS at IM-14117 See also IM-3126 for Regional Health Service Use Context
The Ecology of Medical Care
Based on Gunderson Holling and Light. Barriers and Bridges to the Renewal of Ecosystems and Institutions book Columbia University Press 1995. esp Fig 12.1 p499 Table 12.1 p 502 and FIg 12.4 p 521 and IM-11581 Managing mess
Institutional adaptive cycles
Current and proposed Structure of CCP and related Models expanding on the details provided in the Project Completion plan IM-101760
Structure of the CCP Models
Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.
Clone of Clone of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
BUilt on IM-12140 to illustrate Strategic (blue) Tactical (orange) and Operational (yellow) time scales of decisions affecting Regional Renal Services Performance, including Workforce. Also informed by IM-318 and IM-1003
Renal Care Services Supply and Demand
From Michael Hiete, Mirjam Merz and Frank Schultmann (2011) Scenario-based impact analysis of a power outage on healthcare facilities in Germany IJDRBE 2,3 p222-244
Power outages Health Care Impacts
WIP to show some relevant CLDs
Alcohol CLD Feedbacks
Benefits and context described in Atkinson S et al (2000) Going down to the local: incorporating social organisation and political culture into assessments of decentralised health care Social Science & Medicine 51(4) 619-636 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0277-9536(00)00005-8 in Gilson L, ed. (2012). Health Policy and Systems Research: A Methodology Reader Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research, World Health Organization p166-183
Decentralised management of health care
Childhood obesity map for state prevention. Extended at CCP 5 risk factors IM See also Christine's private version
Clone of Clone of Premier's priority - childhood overweight and obesity
From MIT ESD work (de Weck Ilities ) esp on Survivability (Medecki) http://bit.ly/HVsceb and Unarticulated Value (Ross) 2006 PhD pdf
Clone of System Change Value and Ilities
From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for
Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research
Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Clone of Implementing Chronic Care Management
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.
SIR model with herd immunity and isolation
Initial attempt to reduce confusion about risk and odds ratios.
Odds ratio and Risk ratio
WIP based on Nate Osgood's Motivation for Dynamic Simulation Models in System Science Lecture see Youtube video at 20:34
Explaining and Intervening in Complex Systems
A stock flow structure used to show the unit of analysis, scope of study and context of the ED Four hour rule project, cloned from im-399 monthly flows
Four hour rule project and context
Clone of PPCOO IM Concept map for Concept map for the CCP Workshop 1 National Model for the Dynamic Simulation part of the Compelling Case Project
Integrated Lifestyle Risk Factors Concept Map
A WIP Limited SD model of the core of IM-731 based on Mark Heffernan's interpretation
Needs Services Resources Model
Improvement Science as one of the clusters of interacting methods for improving health services network design and delivery using complex decision technologies IM-17952
Improvement Science
Test Sensitivity and Specificity see ROC wikipedia and Tom Fawcett's 2006 article introduction to ROC Analysis, Can be linked to Brunswik Lens IM-1401
Test ROC Curves
Dynamic system underlying project life cycles From Roberts Edward B The Dynamics of Research and Development p5 Harper & Row NY 1964
Clone of The dynamics of R&D
A RIch Picture unfolding representation of ED overcrowding based on Using system dynamics principles for conceptual modelling of publicly funded hospitals by HJWong et al Journal of the Operational Research Society advance online publication, 27 April 2011 doi:10.1057/jors.2010.164.
Clone of ED Crowding Hospitals and Beyond Rich Pic km clone
