Harvested fishery with stepwise changes in fleet size. Ch 9 p337-339 John Morecroft (2007) Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics

Harvested fishery with stepwise changes in fleet size. Ch 9 p337-339 John Morecroft (2007) Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics

Primitives for Watershed modeling project. Click Clone Insight at the top right to make a copy that you can edit.  The converter in this file contains precipitation for Phoenix only.
Primitives for Watershed modeling project. Click Clone Insight at the top right to make a copy that you can edit.

The converter in this file contains precipitation for Phoenix only.
Our computer model details the change in allele frequency of resistant mosquitoes in Africa when the government began spraying DDT. The few mosquitoes that naturally survived the chemical sprays reproduced, and created a large population of resistant mosquitoes. When DDT was sprayed later to prevent
Our computer model details the change in allele frequency of resistant mosquitoes in Africa when the government began spraying DDT. The few mosquitoes that naturally survived the chemical sprays reproduced, and created a large population of resistant mosquitoes. When DDT was sprayed later to prevent the spread of malaria, the DDT was not as effective because of the large amount of DDT-resistant phenotypes in the population.
 This insight displays some of the main factors effecting the decreasing koala population in South East Queensland, the measures put in place to stop their extinction, and the possible measures that could be taken to further help the conservation effort.

This insight displays some of the main factors effecting the decreasing koala population in South East Queensland, the measures put in place to stop their extinction, and the possible measures that could be taken to further help the conservation effort.
Example of ​rIsk assessment on component of the building
Example of ​rIsk assessment on component of the building
OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION  The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed  The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunb
OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

This model uses simple functions (converters, cosine) to simulate the water balance inside a reservoir.
This model uses simple functions (converters, cosine) to simulate the water balance inside a reservoir.
 Drifting Goals archetype for pressure to lower standards impacting efforts to reduce pollution and improve current air quality.  @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube

Drifting Goals archetype for pressure to lower standards impacting efforts to reduce pollution and improve current air quality.

@LinkedInTwitterYouTube

Simple mass balance model for lakes based on the Vollenweider equation:  dMw/dt = Min - sMw + pMs - Mout  The model was first used in the 1960s to determine the phosphorus concentration in lakes and reservoirs for eutrophication assessment.  This version considers mercury, and adds diagenesis, using
Simple mass balance model for lakes based on the Vollenweider equation:

dMw/dt = Min - sMw + pMs - Mout

The model was first used in the 1960s to determine the phosphorus concentration in lakes and reservoirs for eutrophication assessment.

This version considers mercury, and adds diagenesis, using an extra state variable (mercury in the sediment), and incorporates desorption processes that release mercury trapped in the sediment back to the water column.

The temporal dynamics of the model simulate the typical development of pollution in time.

1. Low loading, low Hg concentration in lake
2. High loading, increasing Hg concentration in lake
3. Desorption rate is low, Hg in sediment increases
4. Measures implemented for source control, loading reduces
5. Hg in lake gradually decreases, but below a certain point, desorption increases, and lake Hg concentration does not improve
6. Recovery only occurs when the secondary load in the sediment is strongly reduced.
This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.  We incorporate logistic growth into the moose dynamics, and we replace the death flow of the moose with a kill rate modeled from the kill rate data found on the Isle Royale websi
This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

We incorporate logistic growth into the moose dynamics, and we replace the death flow of the moose with a kill rate modeled from the kill rate data found on the Isle Royale website.

I start with these parameters:
Wolf Death Rate = 0.15
Wolf Birth Rate = 0.0187963
Moose Birth Rate = 0.4
Carrying Capacity = 2000
Initial Moose: 563
Initial Wolves: 20

I used RK-4 with step-size 0.1, from 1959 for 60 years.

The moose birth flow is logistic, MBR*M*(1-M/K)
Moose death flow is Kill Rate (in Moose/Year)
Wolf birth flow is WBR*Kill Rate (in Wolves/Year)
Wolf death flow is WDR*W

Two households with PV systems and Electric Vehicles, sharing a battery and connected to the grid. What are the advantages?
Two households with PV systems and Electric Vehicles, sharing a battery and connected to the grid. What are the advantages?


This model provides a dynamic simulation of the Sverdrup (1953) paper on the vernal blooming of phytoplankton.  The model simulates the dynamics of the mixed layer over the year, and illustrates how it's depth variation leads to conditions that trigger the spring bloom. In order for the bloom to occ
This model provides a dynamic simulation of the Sverdrup (1953) paper on the vernal blooming of phytoplankton.

The model simulates the dynamics of the mixed layer over the year, and illustrates how it's depth variation leads to conditions that trigger the spring bloom. In order for the bloom to occur, production of algae in the water column must exceed respiration.

This can only occur if vertical mixing cannot transport algae into deeper, darker water, for long periods, where they are unable to grow.

Sverdrup, H.U., 1953. On conditions for the vernal blooming of phytoplankton. J. Cons. Perm. Int. Exp. Mer, 18: 287-295
Simple energy balance model of a planet with albedo, ocean, and atmosphere.  This simulation models the stock and flow of energy between a
star, a planet’s surface (primarily its oceans, which are the largest reservoir
of heat), and space.The assumptions governing this model are:  1. The planet abso
Simple energy balance model of a planet with albedo, ocean, and atmosphere.

This simulation models the stock and flow of energy between a star, a planet’s surface (primarily its oceans, which are the largest reservoir of heat), and space.The assumptions governing this model are:

1. The planet absorbs a fraction of the shortwave radiation arriving from its star, with that fraction given by (1-A), where A is albedo. 

2. The planet radiates longwave infrared radiation into space, with the amount of radiation into space given by σΤe4, where σ is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant and Te is the temperature of the effective radiating level.

3. The atmospheric lapse rate is 6 K/km.

4. If there is an imbalance between shortwave radiation absorbed and longwave radiation emitted, the imbalance affects the temperature of the planet. However, it does not do so instantaneously – the imbalance must heat or cool the mixed layer of the ocean.

5. At the start of the simulation, the planet is extremely close to equilibrium given its default parameters. If any of these parameters are changed, the planet will be out of equilibrium, and will have to adjust.

Simple model to illustrate Michaelis-Menten equation for nutrient uptake by phytoplankton.  The equation is:  P = Ppot S / (Ks + S)  Where:  P: Nutrient-limited production (e.g. d-1, or mg C m-2 d-1) Ppot: Potential production (same units as P) S: Nutrient concentation (e.g. umol N L-1) Ks: Half sat
Simple model to illustrate Michaelis-Menten equation for nutrient uptake by phytoplankton.

The equation is:

P = Ppot S / (Ks + S)

Where:

P: Nutrient-limited production (e.g. d-1, or mg C m-2 d-1)
Ppot: Potential production (same units as P)
S: Nutrient concentation (e.g. umol N L-1)
Ks: Half saturation constant for nutrient (same units as S)

The model contains no state variables, just illustrates the rate of production, by making the value of S equal to the timestep (in days). Move the slider to the left for more pronounced hyperbolic response, to the right for linear response.
 Students in ENVS 270 Online at the University of Arizona: please click Clone Insight at the top to make an editable copy of this model.    As initially proposed by Pr. William M White of Cornell University:    http://www.geo.cornell.edu/eas/education/course/descr/EAS302/302_06Lab11.pdf    http://ww
Students in ENVS 270 Online at the University of Arizona: please click Clone Insight at the top to make an editable copy of this model.

As initially proposed by Pr. William M White of Cornell University:
This model describes the flow of energy from generation to consumption for neighborhoods in the metro Atlanta area. It also calculates the cost of energy production and the number of years it will take to recover that cost.
This model describes the flow of energy from generation to consumption for neighborhoods in the metro Atlanta area. It also calculates the cost of energy production and the number of years it will take to recover that cost.