Public Health Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “Public Health”.

Related tagsCVDDisease Prevention

Insight diagram
Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator: for the older (70+ years) population of West Dorset, UK using the UKCP09 SRES A1B Emission Scenario.
Clone of Clone of Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator
Insight diagram
This model was developed as part of the curriculum development for a short introductory course on systems dynamics modelling for health system analysts
Chris's Basic CVD Prevention Model
Insight diagram
Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator: for the older (70+ years) population of West Dorset, UK using the UKCP09 SRES A1B Emission Scenario.
Clone of Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator
Insight diagram
Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator: for the older (70+ years) population of West Dorset, UK using the UKCP09 SRES A1B Emission Scenario.
Clone of Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator
Insight diagram
This model was developed as part of the curriculum development for a short introductory course on systems dynamics modelling for health system analysts
CVD Prevention Model
Insight diagram
Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator: for the older (70+ years) population of West Dorset, UK using the UKCP09 SRES A1B Emission Scenario.
Clone of Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator
Insight diagram
Economic collapse, not just recession, is now very likely. To give just one possible cause, in the U.S. the fracking industry is in deep trouble. It is not only that most fracking companies have never achieved a free cash flow (made a profit) since the fracking boom started in 2008, but that  an already very weak  and unprofitable oil industry cannot cope with extremely low oil prices. The result will be the imminent collapse of the industry. However, when the fracking industry collapses in the US, so will the American economy – and by extension, probably, the rest of the world economy. To grasp a second and far more serious threat it is vital to understand the phenomenon of ‘Global Dimming’. Industrial activity not only produces greenhouse gases, but emits also sulphur dioxide which converts to reflective sulphate aerosols in the atmosphere. Sulphate aerosols act like little mirrors that reflect sunlight back into space, cooling the atmosphere. But when economic activity stops, these aerosols (unlike carbon dioxide) drop out of the atmosphere, adding perhaps as much as 1° C to global average temperatures. This can happen in a very short period time, and when it does mankind will be bereft of any means to mitigate the furious onslaught of an out-of-control and merciless climate. The data and the unrelenting dynamic of the viral pandemic paint bleak picture.  As events unfold in the next few months,  we may discover that it is too late to act,  that our reign on this planet has, indeed,  come to an abrupt end?  
Clone of Covid 19 - irreversible and catastrophic consequences
Insight diagram
Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator: for the older (70+ years) population of West Dorset, UK using the UKCP09 SRES A1B Emission Scenario.
Clone of Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator
Insight diagram
This model was developed as part of the curriculum development for a short introductory course on systems dynamics modelling for health system analysts
Clone of Basic CVD Prevention Model
Insight diagram
Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator: for the older (70+ years) population of West Dorset, UK using the UKCP09 SRES A1B Emission Scenario.
Clone of Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator
Insight diagram
Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator: for the older (70+ years) population of West Dorset, UK using the UKCP09 SRES A1B Emission Scenario.
Clone of Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator
Insight diagram
This model was developed as part of the curriculum development for a short introductory course on systems dynamics modelling for health system analysts
CVD Prevention Model
Insight diagram
Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator: for the older (70+ years) population of West Dorset, UK using the UKCP09 SRES A1B Emission Scenario.
Clone of Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator
Insight diagram
This model was developed as part of the curriculum development for a short introductory course on systems dynamics modelling for health system analysts
Chris final Module 3
Insight diagram
Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator: for the older (70+ years) population of Dorset, Bournemouth and Poole, UK, using the UKCP09 SRES A1B Emission Scenario.
Clone of Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator V2.1
Insight diagram
This model was developed as part of the curriculum development for a short introductory course on systems dynamics modelling for health system analysts
My Basic CVD Prevention Model CS
Insight diagram
This model was developed as part of the curriculum development for a short introductory course on systems dynamics modelling for health system analysts
Clone of Basic CVD Prevention Model
Insight diagram
First training model for systems dynamics modelling training
Stock and Flow
Insight diagram
Mass balance
Insight diagram
This model was developed as part of the curriculum development for a short introductory course on systems dynamics modelling for health system analysts
Clone of Stage 8 CVD Prevention Model
Insight diagram
Training model for systems dynamic modelling course
CVD Prevention Model
Insight diagram
Clone of 5-yr Age Grp Pop Model
Insight diagram
Collapse of the economy, not just recession, is now very likely. To give just one possible cause, in the U.S. the fracking industry is in deep trouble. It is not only that most fracking companies have never achieved a free cash flow (made a profit) since the fracking boom started in 2008, but that  an already very weak  and unprofitable oil industry cannot cope with extremely low oil prices. The result will be the imminent collapse of the industry. However, when the fracking industry collapses in the US, so will the American economy – and by extension, probably, the rest of the world economy. To grasp a second and far more serious threat it is vital to understand the phenomenon of ‘Global Dimming’. Industrial activity not only produces greenhouse gases, but emits also sulphur dioxide which converts to reflective sulphate aerosols in the atmosphere. Sulphate aerosols act like little mirrors that reflect sunlight back into space, cooling the atmosphere. But when economic activity stops, these aerosols (unlike carbon dioxide) drop out of the atmosphere, adding perhaps as much as 1° C to global average temperatures. This can happen in a very short period time, and when it does mankind will be bereft of any means to mitigate the furious onslaught of an out-of-control and merciless climate. The data and the unrelenting dynamic of the viral pandemic paint bleak picture.  As events unfold in the next few months,  we may discover that it is too late to act,  that our reign on this planet has, indeed,  come to an abrupt end?  
Clone of Covid 19 - irreversible and catastrophic consequences
Insight diagram
This model was developed to support Health Systems Thinking & Learning Events using the systems dynamics modelling approach.
Clone of CVD Prevention Modelling