Insight diagram

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of 2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
Insight diagram
WIP transforming Maternal and Child Health Outcome Logic Model insight into a Causal Loop Diagram
Health Outcome Logic Model to CLD
Insight diagram
The SEQ Koala Population over recent years has suffered due to a number of factors; habitat loss, predators, natural disasters, health issues and road fatalities to name a few.  All the while conservation efforts are being made to aid the population growth of  the national icon.

This insight draws together these contributing factors into a single population model (simulation).  This model begins with the known 2006 population and it projected based on current decline rates.  Accuracy is limited, however the downward trend is clearly evident.

Developed by Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Clone of SEQ Koala Population
Insight diagram
Adapted from Hartmut Bossel's "System Zoo 3 Simulation Models, Economy, Society, Development."

​Population model where the population is summarized in four age groups (children, parents, older people, old people). Used as a base population model for dealing with issues such as employment, care for the elderly, pensions dynamics, etc.
Clone of Z602 Population with four age groups
Insight diagram

Exploring the conditions of permanent coexistence, rather than gradual disappearance of disadvantaged competitors. ​Z506 p32-35 System Zoo 3 by Hartmut Bossel.

Clone of Competition for Resources
Insight diagram
Шөнийн цагт төрөлт бага, үхэл их байхаар LookUp оруулж өгсөн тоо толгойн загвар юм.
lookUp Population
Insight diagram

This is a basic model for use with our lab section.  The full BIDE options.

Clone of Bio 101: Basic Population Model
Insight diagram
This model incorporates several options in examining fisheries dynamics and fisheries employment. The two most important aspects are the choice between I)managing based on setting fixed quota versus setting fixed effort , and ii) using the 'scientific advice' for quota setting  versus allowing 'political influence' on quota setting (the assumption here is that you have good estimates of recruitment and stock assessments that form the basis of 'scientific advice' and then 'political influnce' that desires increased quota beyond the scientific advice).
Fixed Quota versus Fixed Effort
Insight diagram
A system dynamics model of a predator-prey lifecycle relationship




Clone of Predator-Prey relationship
Insight diagram
Shows the ecological impact of population.
Population Ecological Impact - Tanzania
Insight diagram
Simulation of how tiger population and anti poaching efforts effect the black market value of tiger organs.
Clone of Tiger Population and Black Market Value
Insight diagram

This is a basic model for use with our lab section.  The full BIDE options.

Clone of Clone of Bio 101: Basic Population Model
Insight diagram
Simulation of how tiger population and anti poaching efforts effect the black market value of tiger organs.
Clone of Tiger Population and Black Market Value
Insight diagram
Coupled Population-Housing Dynamics Model
Licata_Population/Housing
Insight diagram
  • Between 1999 and 2006 Koala population had dropped 26% in Queensland. 
  • By 2008 it was estimated there were around 2300 Koalas with more than a 50% population loss in less than 3 years. 
  • Main threats for Koala survival are a loss of habitat, vehicular trauma, dog attacks, urbanisation, disease and climate change.

    http://www.ehp.qld.gov.au/wildlife/koalas/research/pdf/koala-coast-report2010.pdf

Koala populations in SE Queensland
Insight diagram
​Climate Sector Boundary Diagram By Guy Lakeman
 Climate, Weather, Ecology, Economics, Population, Welfare, Energy, Policy, CO2, Carbon Cycle, GHG (green house gasses, combined effects)

As general population is composed of 85% with an education level of a 12 grader or less (a 17 year old), a simple block of components concerning the health of the planet needs to be broken down into simple blocks.
Perhaps this picture will show the basics on which to vote for a sustained healthy future
Democracy is only as good as the ability of the voters to FULLY understand the implications of the policies on which they vote., both context and the various perspectives.   National voting of unqualified voters on specific policy issues is the sign of corrupt manipulation.

Clone of Climate Sector Boundary Diagram of Guy Lakeman
Insight diagram
Shows the ecological impact of population.
Clone of Population Ecological Impact - Brazil
Insight diagram
OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

Clone of OVERSHOOT GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE
Insight diagram
Simulation of how tiger population and anti poaching efforts effect the black market value of tiger organs.
Clone of Tiger Population and Black Market Value
Insight diagram
Clone of BirthRateDeathRateAndR
Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Clone of Clone of Clone of Radno sposobno stanovništvo
Insight diagram

This is a basic model for use with our lab section.  The full BIDE options.

Clone of Bio 101: Basic Population Model
Insight diagram
Sakums Adazhiem
Insight diagram
This simulation examines the caloric well of a given settlement. Just add in a few pieces of information and run the insight simulation.
Simple Caloric Well Simulator