Summary of several AIHW reports on Aged Care Pathways from 2011-2017

"Seeing is believing" and "Believing is seeing". How the reduction of doubt can lead to holding on to initially helpful beliefs that later turn out to be false but are difficult to change. Or as I believe Bertrand Russell might once have put it, "The trouble with the world is that fools are so sure of themselves and the wise are so uncertain."

A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the beliefs we develop. A picture version of the parameter version of Insight 351 for an academic audience. Here Consequences, intent and learning loops have been added

From Werner Ulrich's JORS Articles Operational research and critical systems thinking – an integrated perspective. Part 1: OR as applied systems thinking. Journal of the Operational Research Society advance online publication (14 December 2011). and Part 2 :OR as argumentative practice.

See also insight on Boundary Critique

From A Philosophical Basis of Medical Practice Toward a Philosophy and Ethic of the Healing Professions Edmund D Pellegrino David C Thomasma OUP Oxford 1981 Ch6 The Anatomy of Clinical Judgments p119-152 Note judgments have consequences of action, decisions can separate out the knowledge used. 

From MIT ESD work (de Weck Ilities ) esp on Survivability (Medecki) http://bit.ly/HVsceb and Unarticulated Value (Ross) 2006 PhD pdf

Created in James Madison University's ISAT 341 Simulation and Modeling course by Joseph Straub and Andrew Funkhouser. Based on Mark Heffernan's Glucose-Insulin Insight Maker

Glucose Insulin Model Info:

Translated from Hormone.stm in Dynamic Modeling in the Health Sciences James L hargrove, Springer 1998, Ch 24 p255-261, by Mark Heffernan.

Modelo simplificado para ilustrar una epidemia o pandemia, como la del Coronavirus.

Clone of IM-93836 with Health Expenditure australia 2016-7 Table A3 added with change

A simple glucose regulation causal loop diagram taken from Richard O. Foster, 1970: The Dynamics of blood sugar regulation, MSc thesis, MIT Dept of Electrical Engineering, available on the MIT System Dynamics Group Literature Collection and in the MIT Electronic Libraries. See IM-587 for Addition of Glucagon

WIP Based on Sheldrick Implementation science 2016 article A system dynamics model of clinical decision thresholds for the detection of developmental-behavioral disorders. Vensim model modified to show patterns

 

OASIS Technical Reference Model for SOA Ontology. SOA is an architectural style that supports service-orientation. The ontology contains classes and properties corresponding to the core concepts of SOA. For ontology engineering see Wikipedia entry

From A Philosophical Basis of Medical Practice Toward a Philosophy and Ethic of the Healing Professions Edmund D Pellegrino David C Thomasma OUP Oxford 1981 Ch6 The Anatomy of Clinical Judgments p119-152 Note judgments have consequences of action, decisions can separate out the knowledge used. 

Stock Flow  Rich picture version of Tanner's Clinical Judgment Model after simulation

Simplified Rich picture version of Tanner's Clinical Judgment Model, with the addition of clinical reasoning cycle concepts from T Levett-Jones et al Nurse Education Today 30 (2010) 515-520. Simplified arrow version of #828

Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here. See also 2018 N. Hosseinichimeh Plos ONE article for rumination focussed SD simulation

Jones AP, Homer JB, Murphy DL, Essien JDK, Milstein B, Seville DA.

Understanding diabetes population dynamics through simulation modeling

and experimentation. American Journal of Public Health 2006;96(3):488-494.

http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/96/3/488

Regulation of resource allocation to production in response to inventory adequacy and delivery delay. A non-price-mediated resource allocation system. From Sterman JD Business Dynamics p172 Fig 5-27

Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

Based on G.P. Cimellaro et al. Framework for analytical quantification of disaster resilience Engineering Structures 32 (2010) 3639–3649 paper

Working model of Erythropoiesis and Erythropoiesis Stimulating Agents (ESA) Dosing in Anemia due to Renal Failure from Jim Rogers See Stock Flow Map  Insight 810  and Simpler Dosing Model at IM-26182

From the Plausibility of life book esp p 220-227