A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model

A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
 A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

 SARS-CoV-19 spread  in different countries - please  adjust variables accordingly        Italy     elderly population (>65): 0.228  estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11  starting population size: 60 000 000  high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)  heart disease: 0.04 (statista)  free intensive
SARS-CoV-19 spread in different countries
- please adjust variables accordingly

Italy
  • elderly population (>65): 0.228
  • estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
  • starting population size: 60 000 000
  • high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
  • heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
  • free intensive care units: 3 100

Germany
  • elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
  • estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
  • starting population size: 83 000 000
  • high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
  • heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
  • free intensive care units: 5 880

France
  • elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
  • estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
  • starting population size: 67 000 000
  • high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
  • heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
  • free intensive care units: 3 000

As you wish
  • numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
  • practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
  • government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
  • Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4

Key
  • Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
  • Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
  • Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
  • Dead: People died because of COVID-19
  • Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
  • Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment
 A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.

A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
 A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

 A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
 A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

Tutorial model of disease dynamics using ABM
Tutorial model of disease dynamics using ABM
 A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
 A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.

A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Aids Patient disease model.
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Aids Patient disease model.
7 months ago
 SIR Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman     A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
SIR Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
当处在春节时期,疫情来临时,外来人口较多的S市的疫情传染仿真模型。 人群的状态可分为S/E/I/R/D的五个状态,S为易感染者(即S市所在人群),E为潜伏期患者(人群不会对他远离,但是会传染他人),I为感染者(为医院确诊人群,他人会远离该患者),R为康复人群,D为死亡人群。
当处在春节时期,疫情来临时,外来人口较多的S市的疫情传染仿真模型。
人群的状态可分为S/E/I/R/D的五个状态,S为易感染者(即S市所在人群),E为潜伏期患者(人群不会对他远离,但是会传染他人),I为感染者(为医院确诊人群,他人会远离该患者),R为康复人群,D为死亡人群。