SARS-CoV-19 spread in different countries
- please
adjust variables accordingly
Italy
- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
- free intensive care units: 3 100
Germany
- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
- free intensive care units: 5 880
France
- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 67 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
- free intensive care units: 3 000
As you wish
- numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
- practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
- Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4
Key
- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
- Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment
Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model
Control work 2nd part systemic
A spatially aware, agent based model of disease spread. There are three classes of people: susceptible (healthy), infected (sick and infectious), and recovered (healthy and temporarily immune).
Clone of Spatially Aware SIR Diseasse Model
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Clone of SIR model with waning immunity
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of Clone of SIR Model
SARS-CoV-19 spread in different countries
- please
adjust variables accordingly
Italy
- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
- free intensive care units: 3 100
Germany
- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
- free intensive care units: 5 880
France
- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 67 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
- free intensive care units: 3 000
As you wish
- numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
- practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
- Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4
Key
- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
- Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment
Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model
A spatially aware, agent based model of disease spread. There are three classes of people: susceptible (healthy), infected (sick and infectious), and recovered (healthy and temporarily immune).
@LinkedIn, Twitter, YouTube
Clone of Spatially Aware SIR Disease Model
Susceptible infection model highlighting susceptible and infection rate
Susceptible Infection Model_initial
model created for eng 102
Disease Dynamics -Jack Mason
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.
Clone of SIR model with herd immunity and isolation
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
SARS-CoV-19 spread in different countries
- please
adjust variables accordingly
Italy
- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
- free intensive care units: 3 100
Germany
- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
- free intensive care units: 5 880
France
- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 67 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
- free intensive care units: 3 000
As you wish
- numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
- practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
- Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4
Key
- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
- Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment
Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Clone of SIR model with waning immunity
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
This model simulates a waterborne illness spread from a central reservoir. It illustrates the combination of System Dynamics (modeling pathogen levels in the reservoir) and Agent Based Modeling.
Make sure to check out the Map display to see the geographic clustering of disease incidence around the reservoir.
Clone of Reservoir Disease Spread
