Unfolding story based on Emery Roe's 2013 book Making the Most of Mess, revised in 2026. See also Dynamics in Action IM-3239 for more on behavior and The Art of the State IM-11962 for more on Grid-Group Cultural Theory
Managing Mess
Suicide Prevention stock flow and feedback map with unfolding story, revised with ideation, intent and lethality and multiple attempts (according to Mark Heffernan's ithink model May 2016) and an initial person as agent centred view added See Initial version and next version 3
Suicide Dynamics 2
COM-B model of behaviour change from Michie 2011 Implementation Science article Structure agency IM-1163 added for social context. Integration with other behaviour frameworks WIP. See also nested representation Attempt at combining simulations WIP is at IM-35784
Clone of COM-B Behaviour Change Model Wheel
Changing Organization Structures and Behaviours based on Paul Holmstrom's work . Link to CLDs
Organization Structure (HealthCare Managers)
From Powers et al 2011 paper and Mansell's video
Clone of Perceptual Control Theory
COM-B model of behaviour change from Michie 2011 Implementation Science article Structure agency IM-1163 added for social context. Integration with other behaviour frameworks WIP initial now focussed on nested representation. Attempt at combining simulations WIP is at IM-35784
COM-B Behaviour Change Model Nested
A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the assumptions and beliefs we develop IM-351. Combined with the cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.
Ladder of Inference and Cyclical Scientific Process
Based on Nate Osgood's April 2014 Singapore Presentation Youtube video and Lyle Wallis material Gojii at DecisioTech See also Complex Decison Technologies IM as a more polished version
Complex Intervention Modeling Areas
From Powers et al 2011 paper and Mansell's video
Perceptual Control Theory
Brief Summary of Albert O Hirschman's Book with 2026 update
The Passions and the Interests
Unfolding story on social effects of stress and abuse, based on integrating cycles of alienation, emotional regulation in brain development, addiction, and violence/abuse, inspired by Harry Burns IHI London 2015 keynote video on Glasgow alienation due to housing estates. Also Peggy Thoits 2010 Stress and Health article
Stress Emotion and Control
WIP representation of thinking feeling acting and interacting
Clone of Human behaviour
Mostly a combination of Barone 1998 Advanced Personality book with a few Charles Hampden-Turner 1982 Maps of the Mind
Personality Theories
Model combining system dynamics and agent based modeling. Based on Prochaska's Transtheoretical Model of Behaviour Change. See also preceding SD Version IM-574
Clone of Smoking Cessation
Unfolding linked concepts story summary of C A Soper's 2018 Book : Human mismatch between the emotional brain and the thinking brain generated evolutionary mechanisms to avoid suicide; reframed as perceptual control theory.
The Evolution of Suicide
Book (large pdf) by Alicia Juarrero subtitled intentional
behavior as a complex system. Behaviour is action and change in the world,
consisting of the external, mental and social world. Human action is
intentional, meaningful and hopefully effective.
Behaviours can be:
Reactive: sense and respond
Adaptive: anticipate and learn
Generative: innovate and transform.
Which models help produce effective action?
Dynamics in Action
Based on Gunderson Holling and Light. Barriers and Bridges to the Renewal of Ecosystems and Institutions book Columbia University Press 1995. esp Fig 12.1 p499 Table 12.1 p 502 and FIg 12.4 p 521 and IM-11581 Managing mess
Institutional adaptive cycles
Overview of Myers Briggs mental preferences based on Jim Rogers MBTI Manual and Gifts Differing Book. Compare with Thinking feeling acting and interacting representation of human behaviour based on BPSD (dementia) work by Victor Vickland, PCT, Sapience and Gary Smith
Clone of Clone of Psychological MBTI Types
Overview of Myers Briggs Type Indicator (MBTI) mental preferences via Jim Rogers MBTI Manual and Gifts Differing Book (See wikipedia). Compare with Thinking feeling acting and interacting representation of human behaviour based on BPSD (dementia) work by Victor Vickland, PCT, Sapience IM and Gary Smith
Psychological MBTI Types
From Brown and Heathcote's 2008 Paper on the simplest model of Choice ResponseTime , a Tutorial paper and a Workload capacity paper that estimates drift rate v for individuals with single and multiple targets. With start point variability.
Linear Ballistic Accumulator with start point variability
Prochaska's transtheoretical model (TTM) of behavior change. See also Agent Based VersionIM-11578
Behavior change model
Summary of Buchanan 2008 AJPH article
Autonomy Paternalism and Justice: Ethics in Public Health
Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here
Clone of Depression Dynamics
From IM-731 to navigate components of ability
Ability Launchpad