Collapse Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “Collapse”.

 The term 'work' has been  used in this model in the sense of economic activity to include not only
work done by people but also by machines. The model shows 8 positive
feedback loops that reinforce work and the need to work. From the perspective of physics, civilisation can be described as a MECHAN

The term 'work' has been  used in this model in the sense of economic activity to include not only work done by people but also by machines. The model shows 8 positive feedback loops that reinforce work and the need to work. From the perspective of physics, civilisation can be described as a MECHANISM FOR USING ENERGY AND DOING WORK.  

Work, however, has some unavoidable consequences. The second law of thermodynamics tells us that any ‘work’ requires the use of energy and that DOING WORK entails the generation of WASTE HEAT. The laws of physics also tell us that CO2 emissions from burning fossil fuels will cause global warming. These unintended and unavoidable consequences are highlighted in the model by prominent arrows.

Can the structure of this system be changed to avoid a foreseeable collapse of civilisation?

This insight maps the influence of alignment to sustainable construction principles on building failure/collapse
This insight maps the influence of alignment to sustainable construction principles on building failure/collapse

 Before addressing the specific case of the smallpox epidemic among the Aztecs, it is important to introduce the basic epidemiological model known as  SIR  (Susceptible – Infected – Recovered). This model helps explain how an infection spreads through a population over time by classifying people int

Before addressing the specific case of the smallpox epidemic among the Aztecs, it is important to introduce the basic epidemiological model known as SIR (Susceptible – Infected – Recovered). This model helps explain how an infection spreads through a population over time by classifying people into three main categories:

  • Susceptible (S): Individuals who have not yet been infected but are at risk.
  • Infected (I): Individuals who have contracted the disease and can transmit it.
  • Recovered (R): Individuals who are no longer contagious, either because they have developed immunity or have died.