BCTD Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “BCTD”.

Related tagsUdemyCIwIMSwIM

 To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model. @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model.
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
 Clone of  IM-752  map for working simulation model This model is derived from " Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement " by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. An expanded map is at  IM-1918 .

Clone of IM-752 map for working simulation model This model is derived from "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. An expanded map is at IM-1918.

Joe P. is currently managing a project that's behind schedule and he's experiencing substantial pressure to get the project back on track.
Joe P. is currently managing a project that's behind schedule and he's experiencing substantial pressure to get the project back on track.
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics 
Ch 9
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
What do activities of these images have in common?
What do activities of these images have in common?
 Borrowed from STW/STiA Certification program to help develop insights regarding situations of interest to New Community Paradigms. There are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

Borrowed from STW/STiA Certification program to help develop insights regarding situations of interest to New Community Paradigms. There are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.  Video     SystemsWiki's Musings
There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.

SystemsWiki's Musings

What do activities of these images have in common?
What do activities of these images have in common?
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence. @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
 This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based

This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 Conference version at http://bit.ly/HlxtZj

Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics 
Ch 9
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
All the following have a common characteristic.
All the following have a common characteristic.
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.