Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.
Clone of Clone of Clone of Sustaining the Forest
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
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The Essence of And?
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When one undertakes to create a model there are a number of guidelines that are considered essential for consideration if there is to be a success with the model.
Clone of Modeling Guidelines
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds.
Clone of Bird Feeder Dilemma
What do activities of these images have in common?
Clone of Essence Property # 3
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
Clone of Bird Feeder Dilemma
When one undertakes to create a model there are a number of guidelines that are considered essential for consideration if there is to be a success with the model.
Clone of Modeling Guidelines
All the following have a common characteristic.
Clone of Essence Property # 2
What do activities of these images have in common?
Clone of Essence Property # 3
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
Clone of Clone of Rabbit Population
Yesterday's actions are responsible for the world we experience today. And today's actions are responsible for the world that we will experience tomorrow. The "Creating the Future" model is intended to provide a better sense of the common process associated with the unexpected unfolding of the future..
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What do activities of these images have in common?
Clone of Essence Property # 3
What do activities of these images have in common?
Clone of Essence Property # 3
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
Clone of Rabbit Population
The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.
Clone of Home Heating System
Balancing Loop with Stock & Flow Diagram.
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This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 Conference version at http://bit.ly/HlxtZj
Clone of Swamping Insight
What do activities of these images have in common?
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Clone of Clone of Essence Property # 3
This model is derived from the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See Insight 752 for a causal loop version of this model.
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The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
Video
The Essence of And?
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Clone of Moose and Wolves
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
Clone of Bird Feeder Dilemma
Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.
Clone of Clone of Sustaining the Forest
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
Clone of Rabbit Population
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100. From Sterman, John D. (2008) Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance. Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.
Clone of Climate Stabilization Task