Japan is facing a decline in forestry engaged population. By using this model you can speculate the optimum allocation of the workforce.
Japan is facing a decline in forestry engaged population. By using this model you can speculate the optimum allocation of the workforce.
This simple model will attempt to demonstrate how modern civilization's groundwater practices are unsustainable and how they are affected by the changing climate.
This simple model will attempt to demonstrate how modern civilization's groundwater practices are unsustainable and how they are affected by the changing climate.
This simple model will attempt to demonstrate how modern civilization's groundwater practices are unsustainable and how they are affected by the changing climate.
This simple model will attempt to demonstrate how modern civilization's groundwater practices are unsustainable and how they are affected by the changing climate.
Dynamics of natural fishery growth and effect of fishing quantity on sustainability of fisheries
Dynamics of natural fishery growth and effect of fishing quantity on sustainability of fisheries
•Dry
Period Case

 –
25 years of historical dry period on record (1947-1973)-including drought of
record (1947-1956) 

 –Represents
the dry period case 

 –Future
dry cycle includes dry cycle of AMO and overlay of IPCC climate change
predictions 
•Dry Period Case
– 25 years of historical dry period on record (1947-1973)-including drought of record (1947-1956)
–Represents the dry period case
–Future dry cycle includes dry cycle of AMO and overlay of IPCC climate change predictions 
This model simulates the growth of carp in an aquaculture pond, both with respect to production and environmental effects.   Carp are mainly cultivated in Asia and Europe, and contribute to the world food supply.  Aquaculture currently produces sixty million tonnes of fish and shellfish every year.
This model simulates the growth of carp in an aquaculture pond, both with respect to production and environmental effects.

 Carp are mainly cultivated in Asia and Europe, and contribute to the world food supply.

Aquaculture currently produces sixty million tonnes of fish and shellfish every year. In 2011, aquaculture production overtook wild fisheries for human consumption.

This paradigm shift last occurred in the Neolithic period, ten thousand years ago, when agriculture displaced hunter-gatherers as a source of human food.

Aquaculture is here to stay, and wild fish capture (fishing) will never again exceed cultivation.

Recreational fishing will remain a human activity, just as hunting still is, after ten thousand years - but it won't be a major source of food from the seas.

The best way to preserve wild fish is not to fish them.
This model simulates the growth of carp in an aquaculture pond, both with respect to production and environmental effects.   Carp are mainly cultivated in Asia and Europe, and contribute to the world food supply.  Aquaculture currently produces sixty million tonnes of fish and shellfish every year.
This model simulates the growth of carp in an aquaculture pond, both with respect to production and environmental effects.

 Carp are mainly cultivated in Asia and Europe, and contribute to the world food supply.

Aquaculture currently produces sixty million tonnes of fish and shellfish every year. In 2011, aquaculture production overtook wild fisheries for human consumption.

This paradigm shift last occurred in the Neolithic period, ten thousand years ago, when agriculture displaced hunter-gatherers as a source of human food.

Aquaculture is here to stay, and wild fish capture (fishing) will never again exceed cultivation.

Recreational fishing will remain a human activity, just as hunting still is, after ten thousand years - but it won't be a major source of food from the seas.

The best way to preserve wild fish is not to fish them.
This model simulates the growth of carp in an aquaculture pond, both with respect to production and environmental effects.  Both the anabolism and fasting catabolism functions contain elements of allometry, through the m and n exponents that reduce the ration per unit body weight as the animal grows
This model simulates the growth of carp in an aquaculture pond, both with respect to production and environmental effects.

Both the anabolism and fasting catabolism functions contain elements of allometry, through the m and n exponents that reduce the ration per unit body weight as the animal grows bigger.

The 'S' term provides a growth adjustment with respect to the number of fish, so implicitly adds competition (for food, oxygen, space, etc).

 Carp are mainly cultivated in Asia and Europe, and contribute to the world food supply.

Aquaculture currently produces sixty million tonnes of fish and shellfish every year. In 2011, aquaculture production overtook wild fisheries for human consumption.

This paradigm shift last occurred in the Neolithic period, ten thousand years ago, when agriculture displaced hunter-gatherers as a source of human food.

Aquaculture is here to stay, and wild fish capture (fishing) will never again exceed cultivation.

Recreational fishing will remain a human activity, just as hunting still is, after ten thousand years - but it won't be a major source of food from the seas.

The best way to preserve wild fish is not to fish them.
•Average
(Status Quo) Case

 –Last
30 years of historical EAA data  

 –Used
the past to predict the future 

 –Represents
the status quo case 

 –Includes
the dry portion  and wet portion of AMO
cycle
•Average (Status Quo) Case
–Last 30 years of historical EAA data
–Used the past to predict the future
–Represents the status quo case
–Includes the dry portion  and wet portion of AMO cycle
Thanks for taking the time to look at my model on how greenhouse effect impacts food security!    Here are a few notes:  -For more detailed descriptions of primitives, click on the information ("i") buttons.  -You may need to adjust the window size when viewing the graphs  -If you want to revisit my
Thanks for taking the time to look at my model on how greenhouse effect impacts food security!

Here are a few notes:
-For more detailed descriptions of primitives, click on the information ("i") buttons.
-You may need to adjust the window size when viewing the graphs
-If you want to revisit my graphs after viewing the story, click on the buttons at the bottom of the canvas.
-References and links to photos can be found at the end of the story
  The World Socio-Economics model is computer model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the earth and human systems based on the World3 model by the work of Club of Rome, The Limits to Growth[1].     The World3 model builds by system dynamics theory that is has an approach to underst
The World Socio-Economics model is computer model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the earth and human systems based on the World3 model by the work of Club of Rome, The Limits to Growth[1].

The World3 model builds by system dynamics theory that is has an approach to understanding the nonlinear behaviour of complex systems over time using stocks, flows, feedback loops, table functions and time delays.

The Limits to Growth concludes that, without substantial changes in resource consumption, "the most probable result will be a rather sudden and uncontrollable decline in both population and industrial capacity". 

Since the World3 model was originally created, it has had minor tweaks to get to the World3-91 model used in the book Beyond the Limits[2], later improved to get the World3-03 model used in the book Limits to Growth: the 30 year update[3].

References;
[1] Meadows, Donella H., Meadows, Dennis L., Randers, Jørgen., Behrens III, William W (1972). The Limits to Growth. 

[2] Meadows, Donella H., Dennis L. Meadows, Randers, Jørgen., (1992). Beyond the limits: global collapse or a sustainable future.

[3] Meadows, Dennis., Randers, Jørgen., (2004). The limits to growth: the 30-year update.
Aqui se apresenta a simulação proposta no curso Thinking Complexity para o problema da pesca sustentável em um determinado local.
Aqui se apresenta a simulação proposta no curso Thinking Complexity para o problema da pesca sustentável em um determinado local.
This model simulates the growth of carp in an aquaculture pond, both with respect to production and environmental effects.  Both the anabolism and fasting catabolism functions contain elements of allometry, through the m and n exponents that reduce the ration per unit body weight as the animal grows
This model simulates the growth of carp in an aquaculture pond, both with respect to production and environmental effects.

Both the anabolism and fasting catabolism functions contain elements of allometry, through the m and n exponents that reduce the ration per unit body weight as the animal grows bigger.

The 'S' term provides a growth adjustment with respect to the number of fish, so implicitly adds competition (for food, oxygen, space, etc).

 Carp are mainly cultivated in Asia and Europe, and contribute to the world food supply.

Aquaculture currently produces sixty million tonnes of fish and shellfish every year. In May 2013, aquaculture production overtook wild fisheries for human consumption.

This paradigm shift last occurred in the Neolithic period, ten thousand years ago, when agriculture displaced hunter-gatherers as a source of human food.

Aquaculture is here to stay, and wild fish capture (fishing) will never again exceed cultivation.

Recreational fishing will remain a human activity, just as hunting still is, after ten thousand years - but it won't be a major source of food from the seas.

The best way to preserve wild fish is not to fish them.
This model simulates the growth of carp in an aquaculture pond, both with respect to production and environmental effects.  Both the anabolism and fasting catabolism functions contain elements of allometry, through the m and n exponents that reduce the ration per unit body weight as the animal grows
This model simulates the growth of carp in an aquaculture pond, both with respect to production and environmental effects.

Both the anabolism and fasting catabolism functions contain elements of allometry, through the m and n exponents that reduce the ration per unit body weight as the animal grows bigger.

The 'S' term provides a growth adjustment with respect to the number of fish, so implicitly adds competition (for food, oxygen, space, etc).

 Carp are mainly cultivated in Asia and Europe, and contribute to the world food supply.

Aquaculture currently produces sixty million tonnes of fish and shellfish every year. In 2011, aquaculture production overtook wild fisheries for human consumption.

This paradigm shift last occurred in the Neolithic period, ten thousand years ago, when agriculture displaced hunter-gatherers as a source of human food.

Aquaculture is here to stay, and wild fish capture (fishing) will never again exceed cultivation.

Recreational fishing will remain a human activity, just as hunting still is, after ten thousand years - but it won't be a major source of food from the seas.

The best way to preserve wild fish is not to fish them.