Based on 1990 SDR Article. Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't predict the consequences of behavior. These consequences are maintained despite disturbances. See IM-9007 for a double loop version

From Brown and Heathcote's 2008 Paper on the simplest model of Choice ResponseTime , a Tutorial paper and a Workload capacity paper that estimates drift rate v for individuals with single and multiple targets. With start point variability.

Delusions, false theories and ideas about the world, can be dangerous when acted upon.  I would count as delusional beliefs, belief in 'creationism', 'market fundamentalism' and also the belief that 'climate change is not anthropogenic'.

The CLD seeks to illustrate the dynamic that makes it difficult, if not impossible, to disabuse holders of fanatical beliefs by simply using rational arguments and facts. The professor of psychology, Jerry Kroth, said that delusions can be seen as an incipient mental illness. He also said that 'repression' and 'denial' are by-products of delusions. It seems that rational arguments are useless when facts are simply denied: the dynamic shows that trying to refute a strongly held irrational belief merely strengthens it. 

Based on 1990 SDR Article. Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't predict the consequences of behavior. These consequences are maintained despite disturbances. See IM-9007 for a double loop version

Based on 1990 SDR Article. Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't predict the consequences of behavior. These consequences are maintained despite disturbances. See IM-9007 for a double loop version

Love affairs and Differential equations. From Michael J Radzicki (1993) Dyadic processes,tempestuous relationships, and system dynamics Syst. Dyn. Rev. 9 (1) :79-94 

Fases por las que pasa un individuo cuando experimenta un cambio

This diagram illustrates the behavioral cycle, which models the sequence of steps that people undergo when responding to situations. The diagram highlights potential risk factors that may lead to problematic behavioral patterns, and may be useful in identifying potential interventions for correcting them.

How Facebook use can affect the mental health of adolescents.

in the beginning, expectations are normal for a new employee. By excelling, the employee builds goodwill, and immunizes self from criticism and accompanying shame. However, as time goes on, expectations rise until they first reach, and then exceed, the level of the employee's performance. This may be due to demands from multiple sources that are unaware of each other. It may also come about as completed projects add a layer of ongoing, and growing, maintenance. At this point, perceived criticism of the employee's performance occurs. Depending on the employee's potential for shame, which is likely high due to his/her use of this perfectionist defense, this criticism triggers shame, which then results in an avoiding (withdrawal, quitting) or controlling (secondary anger, irritability) defensive response.  Alternatively, the employee may choose effective action, setting boundaries and beginning to address the shame directly, separating it from  performance.

The dynamics of antisocial behavior in adolescents coupled with aversive reactions (e.g. punishment, anger,...) by adults

WIP based on  Colin G. DeYoung and Robert F. Krueger A CyberneticTheory of Psychopathology article 2018

The dynamics of antisocial behavior in adolescents coupled with aversive reactions (e.g. punishment, anger,...) by adults

in the beginning, expectations are normal for a new employee. By excelling, the employee builds goodwill, and immunizes self from criticism and accompanying shame. However, as time goes on, expectations rise until they first reach, and then exceed, the level of the employee's performance. This may be due to demands from multiple sources that are unaware of each other. It may also come about as completed projects add a layer of ongoing, and growing, maintenance. At this point, perceived criticism of the employee's performance occurs. Depending on the employee's potential for shame, which is likely high due to his/her use of this perfectionist defense, this criticism triggers shame, which then results in an avoiding (withdrawal, quitting) or controlling (secondary anger, irritability) defensive response.  Alternatively, the employee may choose effective action, setting boundaries and beginning to address the shame directly, separating it from  performance.

in the beginning, expectations are normal for a new employee. By excelling, the employee builds goodwill, and immunizes self from criticism and accompanying shame. However, as time goes on, expectations rise until they first reach, and then exceed, the level of the employee's performance. This may be due to demands from multiple sources that are unaware of each other. It may also come about as completed projects add a layer of ongoing, and growing, maintenance. At this point, perceived criticism of the employee's performance occurs. Depending on the employee's potential for shame, which is likely high due to his/her use of this perfectionist defense, this criticism triggers shame, which then results in an avoiding (withdrawal, quitting) or controlling (secondary anger, irritability) defensive response.  Alternatively, the employee may choose effective action, setting boundaries and beginning to address the shame directly, separating it from  performance.

WIP Summary of Joe Henrich's 2020 Book The Weirdest People in the World: How the West became Psychologically Peculiar and Particularly Prosperous  wikipedia and Youtube video 2023 Joseph Henrich: "WEIRD Minds: How Religion and Family Shape Psychology, Democracy, and Innovation" 

It consists of hormone releases, principally testosterone, when challenges arise.  These rekeases are genetically governed and create psychological effects. The effects produce moods, feelings, and can provoke aggresssive and dominating behaviour.

WIP Addition of Emotion Regulation IM to Clone of IM-9007 Double loop version of IM-8908 Based on 1990 SDR Article.  See also Double loop learning and Nurse Thinking Insights. See also IM-9273 for DLL LAIR model. Also Azjen's Theory of planned behavior which could be framed in COM-B WIP at IM-51900

The Causal-Loop-Diagram (CLD) explains how the concerning,  bellicose attitude adopted by Western countries  against Russia may have arisen and how some claims made by politicians are irreconcilable with military and geopolitical reality, that now seem to have hardened into an inflexible ideological stance.

The CLD was developed the  LLM, GEMENI, which was instructed to only use links that indicate a ‘causal’ relationship between variables.   The model shows an escalation of arms supplied by Western countries and how a continuing commitment to supply arms to Ukraine can be attribute to the psychology effect of  sunk costs and the development of some kind of kinship arising from the activity of continuous assistance.  These factors also led to a gradual hardening of views to become an ideological narrative.  

SUPPORTING EVIDENCE

Evidence for this step-by-step escalation comes from Germany, (but not only) that initially was prepared to supply only 5000 helmets and then escalated to advanced systems like the PzH 2000 self-propelled howitzers and Leopard 2 tanks (and is now even considers the supply Taurus missiles).

PRAGMATIC VALIDATION OF THE MODEL.

 Charles Pierces Pragmatic Maxim says: “Consider what the conceivable practical consequences would if the word/phrase/concept IS TRUE.

Following this instruction GEMINI provided the required observable consequences:

* An increase in military aid followed by a notable  increase in the political rhetoric justifying that aid.

* A rise in "sunk cost" arguments directly correlated with demands for further escalation.

* The "red lines" for aid consistently moving forward, indicating escalating pressure.

* A noticeable shift in political discourse from pragmatic discussion to highly moralized, ideological framing.

No CLD can provide the certainty of its correctness, but a pragmatic assessment can increase significantly  the confidence that  can be paced on their findings and interventions they suggest.