Health | Insight Maker

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.

CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of 2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Bertrand Nzomigni

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.

Clone of SIR model with herd immunity and isolation

Tong's Song

SIR model with herd immunity - Metrics by Guy Laekman

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity

Clone of SIR model with herd immunity - Metrics by Guy Laekman

sub cribed

This model has been constructed from the model published in the following article:

Jack B. Homer, "Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications for prevention and control".

System Dynamics Review 1 (no. 1, Summer 1985): 42-62. ISSN 0883-7066. 0 1985 by the Svstem Dynamics Society.

Original Values Burnout

Belinda Maher

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

Clone of SIR model with waning immunity

Rebecca Spens

En France, la consommation d’ecstasy chez les jeunes de 17 ans (comportement) a augmenté (description du comportement sur la période) de 100% (mesure du changement sur la période) entre 2011 et 2014 (période de temps du comportement).

Clone of Info. & Décisions

Dufour Alexandre

Agent Based

Disease Dynamic basic

Luay Assidmi

SEIR model with lockdown

Guy Katriel

This model has been constructed from the model published in the following article:

Jack B. Homer, "Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications for prevention and control".

System Dynamics Review 1 (no. 1, Summer 1985): 42-62. ISSN 0883-7066. 0 1985 by the Svstem Dynamics Society.

Clone of Clone of Clone of Burnout

RichardS

This systems model will help students understand the different systems that make up our body and how choices we make can impact how those systems work.
Factors are based on daily choices.

Clone of Human Body Systems Efficiency

Jeanette Simenson

OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

Physics: OVERSHOOT GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE

Alfred Aenishaenslin

This model has been constructed from the model published in the following article:

Jack B. Homer, "Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications for prevention and control".

System Dynamics Review 1 (no. 1, Summer 1985): 42-62. ISSN 0883-7066. 0 1985 by the Svstem Dynamics Society.

Clone of Burnout

asish menon

Health Services System Map of Mildura region

Mildura LGA Health Services

Clare Cooper

This model should be used purely for personal interest. I’m a designer and have no training in epidemiological studies. So, take this as an interesting experiment and nothing else.

I made it for a university subject looking into modelling and thought this was a very interesting topic area.

Using figures from:

Zhang, L., Peng, P., Wu, Y., Ma, X., Soe, N. N., Huang, X., Wu, H., Markowitz, M., & Meyers, K. (2018). Modelling the epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of prep for HIV transmission in MSM in China. *AIDS and Behavior*, *23*(2), 523-533. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-018-2205-3

Schneider, K., Gray, R. T., & Wilson, D. P. (2014). A cost-effectiveness analysis of HIV Preexposure prophylaxis for men who have sex with men in Australia. *Clinical Infectious Diseases*, *58*(7), 1027-1034. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/cit946

AFAO. (2021). *HIV IN AUSTRALIA*. Australian Federation of AIDS Organisations. https://www.afao.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/HIV-in-Australia-2021.pdf

Department of Health. (2018). *National HIV Strategy* (8). Commonwealth of Australia. https://www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/ohp-bbvs-1/$File/HIV-Eight-Nat-Strategy-2018-22.pdf

Monitoring HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (Prep) uptake in Australia: Issue 1*. (2021, June 29). Kirby Institute. https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/report/monitoring-hiv-prep-uptake-australia-issue1

Monitoring HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (Prep) uptake in Australia: Issue 4*. (2021, June 29). Kirby Institute. https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/report/monitoring-hiv-prep-uptake-australia-issue4

PrEP affordability and its effects on infections

Jason Moisiadis

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

Clone of SIR model with waning immunity

Jordan C Argrett

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.

CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of 2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Inka Graphisme

Dosage per day, Doses per day, Every ? hours, Medicine in Intestines, Drug absorption, Plasma level, Blood volume, Plasma concentration, Toxic level, Medicinal level, Drug excretion, Excretion rate, Half-Life

Clone of Pharmacokinetics

Jose Andres Moran Vasquez

POPULATION CONTROL BASED ON THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

This expanded World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.

CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

POPULATION CONTROL

Guy Lakeman

3

THE 2020 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.
WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.

CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of WORLD2020 to PLANET2020

Samson Tan

Health Services System Map of Mildura region

Mildura LGA Health Services

Clare Cooper

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

Clone of SIR model with waning immunity

Rebecca Snegg

This model has been constructed from the model published in the following article:

Jack B. Homer, "Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications for prevention and control".

System Dynamics Review 1 (no. 1, Summer 1985): 42-62. ISSN 0883-7066. 0 1985 by the Svstem Dynamics Society.

Clone of Clone of Burnout

RichardS

Clone of IM-91683 from jacqui and vincy Summary of paper map produced by participants at the compelling case for prevention workshop 6 june 2017.

Current premier version containing Story Steps and text for vincy to update.

This is clone of 97129 via Vincy.

Clone of FINAL Clone of Concept Map produced by CCP Workshop 1

Jeb Eddy

Example of Configurable Conveyor Pattern (vectorized conveyor with multiple 'conveyor speeds')

See Taking The Pill

https://getsatisfaction.com/insightmaker/topics/delay-in-taking-the-pill for the problem statement

Clone of Configurable Conveyor Pattern

Leslie A. Laam

Health Models