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INDUSTRIAL AGRICULTURE IMPACT ON POLLUTION AND RESOURCES THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.

CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

INDUSTRIAL AGRICULTURE IMPACT ON POLLUTION AND RESOURCES

Guy Lakeman

See basic Dystopia model first. Idea here is to add a second "clean" energy source, which is is not constrained by pollution. The expectation, of course, is that, as the pollution constraint kicks in, this can take over the drive from the demand that would otherwise remain unsatisfied...

Dystopia-2: simple energy system "clean transition" model

Barry McMullin

Shows the payout sub-model for the energy savings the consultants provide

Clone of Solar - Energy Consultant Saving Payout

Obreja Vlad Andrei

This simulation examines the caloric well of the world. World population is estimated to start at about 7.7 billion. World farmland is roughly 13.4 Billion Ha or about 8,576 Billion acres, based on FAO estimates (http://www.fao.org/3/y4252e/y4252e06.htm).

World Caloric Well Simulator (Food)

Gregory Fulkerson

Two households with PV systems and Electric Vehicles, sharing a battery and connected to the grid. What are the advantages?

Clone of Vehicle to Grid Simulation

Peter Morgenstein

THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

THE MODEL IS ZONE SPECIFIC AS GLOBAL WEATHER IS NOT HOMOGENEOUS BUT A COLLECTION OF HEAT BUMBPS DEPENDENT ON POPULATION SIZE OF URBAN HEAT ISLANDS AND MASSED CONURBATIONS AND AGGLOMERATIONS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.

CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of 2017 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Nilo Guimaraes

This simulation examines the linkages between cultural, material, spatial demographic, and hierarchical dynamics.

Clone of Energy, Population, Urban Dependency

Spencer Burch

Accumulo inerziale

Clone of Accumulo

Cristian Visintin

Units don't really work, not sure what to do regarding flow units (can't divide units and the conversion part doesn't make any sense)

Clone of Revenue Model from Savings

Mirel Chirtes

Charging Electric Vehicles will have an impact in the electricity network infrastructure. What will be the influence at district level?

Clone of Electric Vehicles in District: Agent Based Modeling

Tyler Beauchesne

10 months ago

This simulates population growth, culture, energy, and land use. Parameters are somewhat arbitrary, and can be tailored to a specific urban system using real data.

Energy, Population, Urban Dependency black and white

Gregory Fulkerson

Investigate how to transition to an EV fleet

EV Transition Model

Harry Levinson

A natural gas discovery and production model created by MIT student Roger Naill, based n the life cycle theory of oil and gas discovery and production put forth by petroleum geologist M. King Hubbert.

Example copied from _Introduction to Systems Dynamics_ by Michael J. Radzicki an Robert A. Taylor.

Hubbert's Life Cycle

Andrew Reeves

Mapping the Chinese job sector during energy transition i.e. shutting down coal

Clone of China Transition

Saikat Sanyal

Test

Scenario 2: SubCon

Henar Rabadan Perucha

10

Pemodelan Jarak Tempuh dan Kecepatan Roket

Roby Attoillah

This is a simulation of growth rate

Clone of New York's Population Growth with different functions

Nilo Guimaraes

This simulation examines carrying capacity of rural and urban populations

AFG Urban and Rural Carrying Capacity

Gregory Fulkerson

17

POPULATION CONTROL BASED ON THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

This expanded World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.

CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

POPULATION CONTROL

Guy Lakeman

3

Monitor the behavior of energy levels and coffee consumption.

Energy Drain

Frederick Butler

Charging Electric Vehicles will have an impact in the electricity network infrastructure. What will be the influence at district level?

Clone of Electric Vehicles in District: Agent Based Modeling

Daniel

More information in the paper submitted to the Engineering Journal (Elsevier). Dynamic Cost-Benefit Analysis of Digitalization in the Energy Industry

Clone of System Dynamics Model. Cost-benefit analysis of smart grid investment in Isernia, Italy.