Model of the Human Population in Newmarket Ontario

Drake Kirkos

This is a model demonstrating the scale of growth for the town of Newmarket, located in Canada Ontario, roughly 60km north of Toronto. The total population capacity for Newmarket was based off of York Region Figures of 118,500 people in the year 2051, and the current population was based off a current rough number of around 97,000 people.

This model calculates 2 things, firstly, it calculates the main population growth just by births alone. It does this by taking the average population growth rate in Newmarket which is roughly 1.13%, and the average death rate which is roughly 0.78%. 

Secondly, Newmarket gets a large portion of its growth by migration. Because migration percentages are hard to calculate, and are very rough, we must find the minimum potential growth rate for Newmarket every year. Based on the available historical data, I have chosen 0.3% total migration growth rate.

After simulating this graph, it will show 2 bars. 1 bar will show the growth without immigration, and the other will show the total growth of Newmarket's population taking into account the potential migration of people.