Human Population Size in Ajax, Ontario (2026–2051)

This model shows how the population of Ajax, Ontario could change from 2026 to 2051. It starts with Ajax’s projected population of 140,960 people in 2026. The model looks at four main factors that can change the population: births, deaths, immigration, and emigration. Births and immigration add people to the population, while deaths and emigration decrease it. The rates in this model stay the same throughout the simulation and are based on general population data from Ontario. Since population can be affected by many different factors, this model is meant to give a simple estimate of how Ajax’s population could change over time.

Regional Municipality of Durham. (n.d.). Durham Region growth management: Growth allocations and land needs assessment. https://www.durham.ca/GrowthAllocationsReport

Ontario Ministry of Finance. (2026). Ontario population projections, 2025–2051. Government of Ontario. https://www.ontario.ca/page/ontario-population-projections